DETROIT (7-6) -5.5 vs. Chicago (4-9)
Matthew Stafford is 10-23 ATS in December and January. Guess what? This game is being played in December. The Lions will be without their starting center. This is a key injury that many sharps bettors focus on because of the importance of this position in the offense. Chicago has a strong D line so they’ll be able to beat up on Stafford.
Don’t let the Bears 4-9 record fool you. This team is better than that record indicates. And those 4 wins? They came against the Steelers, Ravens, Panthers and Bengals – 3 of which are likely playoff teams and the other is the Bengals. They also suffered close losses to the Saints, Falcons, Vikings and 49ers – 3 more likely playoff teams plus the Jimmy G. led 49ers.
We’re expecting another Lions late season collapse and a 7-9 finish. Why? Because it’s the Lions and that’s what they do. We’re taking the road dog here and we’re seriously contemplating the Bears money line.
PICK: Chicago +5.5
LA Chargers (7-6) -1.5 @ KANSAS CITY (7-6)
Don’t let Kansas City’s win over Oakland last week fool you. Oakland’s offense has been pathetic this year and its defense if one of the worst in the league. Sure, KC looked strong in that game, but against Oakland who wouldn’t.
KC won’t have as easy a match-up this week. The Chargers offense is 5th in the league in yards per game. The Chiefs are 6th. However, the Chargers defense is 10th in the league in yards allowed per game. The Chiefs are 28th.
After starting the season 0-4, the Chargers have won 7 of 9 losing back to back close games at New England and Jacksonville. After facing KC this week, San Diego plays the Jets and Raiders. That sounds a lot like 10-6 and a division crown.
PICK: LA Chargers -1.5