Week 5 Late Games & Monday Night

LA RAMS -1.5 vs. Seattle

The Rams have won 3 of the last 4 games vs. Seattle. No joke. They won 11 games total in 2015 & 2016, 3 of those wins came against Seattle. Maybe that’s how Jeff Fisher kept his job. Good news for Rams fans, Jeff Fisher was shown the door last season and Sean McVay is now calling plays. Jared Goff is finally looking worthy of the #1 pick the Rams spent on him in 2016. This game will be very telling as to whether Goff has turned the corner. He’ll have to do it against the reputation of Seattle’s D. Not the actual D, they’re not so good this year. Richard Sherman is a loose cannon, Earl Thomas has been slowed by injuries and Cliff Avril & Jeremy Lane are out for this game. I think the Rams look to make a statement. They will score and score often and I don’t think Seattle can match them.

PICK: LA RAMS -1.5


OAKLAND -1.5 vs. Baltimore

The NFL is amazing. Derek Carr has a broken back and is expected to miss only 2-6 weeks. Really, a broken back. What terrible luck Carr has had since entering the league. Broken leg, broken back. These are no-nonsense injuries. EJ Manuel will suit up for the Raiders and that is ok. Definitely a step back at the QB position, but Raiders offense has too many weapons.

The Ravens on the other hand are missing half of their offensive line among a slew of other major injuries. After being walloped in London, the Ravens came home for a tough division match-up against the Steelers, and now travel to Oakland to face the Raiders. That is a tough three week stretch.

If Carr is playing, this line is Raiders -6.5. At -1.5, we absolutely love the short home favorite.

PICK: OAKLAND -1.5


DALLAS -1.5 vs. Green Bay

Interestingly, the Packers and Cowboys have only played 28 times. It seems like they have played 28 times since 2010. Packers led the series 14-13, pretty even overall. However, the Packers have won 4 out of the past 5 meetings including knocking the Cowboys out of the playoffs in 2014 and 2016.

Since playing last Thursday, the Packers have had 10 days off. Sure, Rodgers and Clay Matthews filmed 35 commercials during that span, but this was just what the Packers needed to get healthy. This also gave Rodgers plenty of time to plan how many times he can catch the Cowboys with 12 men on the field. With no Sean Lee in the middle, expect Rodgers to pick apart the Cowboys weak secondary. This should be an easy cover for the Packers.

PICK: Green Bay +1.5


Kansas City -1.5 @ Houston

After four weeks, Kansas City is the only unbeaten team. Andy Reid clock management has been in mid-season form, leaving enough time on the clock last week to allow Washington a chance to run a play with 4 seconds remaining that swung the pt. spread decision, the over/under and countless fantasy match-ups. Truly amazing. At 23-20, it was an easy cover for folks who had Washington and the under (48.5). A touchback, one snap for Washington and yada, yada, yada...29-20 KC covering the spread and pushing the game over.

All the aside, that was Washington's game to win. Since they have Jay Gruden making decisions, they obviously did not win. KC looked vulnerable and this is a tough spot. Houston at home on Sunday night, with the Texans coming off a huge division win over the Titans. We were big on Houston last week riding the emotional wave of the Texans returning home and Watson taking control of the team and they did not disappoint. KC is due for a letdown and it will come this week. Take the short home dog, always.  Houston will win this game on the field.

PICK: HOUSTON +1.5


Minnesota -2.5 @ CHICAGO

Mitch Trubisky takes over at QB for the Bears and it's about time. Glennon has been such a mixed bag this year. When he doesn't turn the ball over, the Bears play well. This is how they beat the Steelers and almost beat the Falcons. However, Glennon loves to turn the ball over. Even God tried to send a message to John Fox last week to make the switch, interrupting the game with a lightning storm after two Glennon fumbles. Fox finally got the message after two more second half turnover and Trubisky will get the start vs. the Vikings. Tough spot for the rookie, prime time Monday night vs a tough division rival.

PICK: CHICAGO +2.5