New Orleans (1-2) -2.5 vs MIAMI (1-1)
The NFL has played 13 games in London since 2012. The average number of points scored in those games has been 51.4, compared to 45.3 in all games over the same period. The over in this game is 50.5, and we like it.
Neither team is lighting it up on offense. The Saints have two offensive linemen as game time calls, and that might unleash Wake and Suh to stomp on pressure Brees. Miami’s defense is a question mark after allowing the Jets to score 20. But if he can get a second or two to get the ball downfield, Miami’s secondary is allowing 8.6/play, worst in the league. That would force Cutler to start chucking it, which means receptions and points … for the offense as well as the defense. The Miami offense is less of a question mark and more of a #$!@. 12.5 a game.
We give the points in an offensive game with no home field advantage. Miami has yet to play a game at home, unless you count their visit to LA to play the Chargers, which is an extra home game for every team in the league.
Pick: New Orleans -2.5, over 50.5